New evidence showing economically similar regions did not revolt
why one piece of contrary evidence does not automatically destroy a theory.
Suppose Theory A says:
Severe economic hardship causes rebellion.
Then we discover:
Region X suffered severe hardship but did not rebel.
Possible explanations include:
stronger repression,
greater social cohesion,
weaker revolutionary organization,
religious beliefs discouraging rebellion,
population differences,
different political institutions,
greater ability to tolerate hardship.
So the evidence challenges a simple universal formulation:
“Whenever severe hardship occurs, rebellion occurs.”
It does not necessarily destroy a more qualified theory:
“Severe hardship can contribute to rebellion when organizational and political conditions permit.”
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