"The theory predicts a risk, not an unavoidable conclusion."

Example.

Political theory says:

Permanent majority rule increases the risk of minority oppression.

Notice the word

risk.

It means

something becomes more likely.

Example.

Smoking increases the risk of lung cancer.

It does not mean

every smoker develops lung cancer.

Likewise,

a permanent majority may increase the likelihood of minority disadvantage,

but it does not logically guarantee it.

Another country with constitutional safeguards may avoid that outcome.