A political theory, not a logical deduction

A logical deduction is true if its premises are true.

Example:

Premise 1:

All citizens over 18 may vote.

Premise 2:

Ahmed is 20.

Conclusion:

Ahmed may vote.

That follows necessarily.

A political theory is different.

It proposes how political institutions are likely to behave.

For example:

If one community permanently dominates elections, minorities may gradually lose political influence.

That is not a logical necessity.

Different constitutional arrangements could produce different outcomes.

For example:

Country A

permanent majority

independent courts

strong constitutional rights

federal system

Minorities may remain well protected.

Country B

permanent majority

weak courts

few constitutional safeguards

Minorities may receive much less protection.

So the theory predicts a risk, not an unavoidable conclusion.