Lie is to be one-faced By Prof Dr Sohail Ansari & Variables 8

After a few years of marriage a man can look right at a woman without seeing her and a woman can see right through a man without looking at him.

 

Craftsman of destruction

A journalist cannot be the true craftsman of destruction if he does not exercise the art of lying with dexterity. Truth will, anyhow, put on its shoes, and sooner or later will catch up with a lie. A journalist makes sure that truth will never, not because it is slow, but because it fails to find a lie as lie has portions of truth to justify its portions of falsehood.

 A journalist makes sure that lie is indistinguishable from truth. Lie, hence, is nowhere to be seen. 

 

True face of two-faced individual is known when the real one is discovered. A true lie can never be known as it has no other face.

A journalist tells truth as well as lies; but makes sure that latter overshadows former so subtly that people knowing what truth is, cannot recognize a lie and takes it a part of truth.

 

 

 “There is nothing true anywhere, The true is nowhere to be seen; If you say you see the true, This seeing is not the true one.” » Abraham Lincoln Kickvick.com

 

“If you’re going to be two-faced at least make one of them pretty.” » Marilyn Monroe

“Just because something isn't a lie does not mean that it isn't deceptive. A liar knows that he is a liar, but one who speaks mere portions of truth in order to deceive is a craftsman of destruction.” ― Criss Jami

 "Don’t lie, but don’t tell the whole truth." Baltasar Gracián:

"The art of living is the art of knowing how to believe lies. The fearful thing about it is that not knowing what truth may be, we can still recognize lies." Cesare Pavese
After a few years of marriage a man can look right at a woman without seeing her and a woman can see right through a man without looking at him.
(To pretend not to see someone even while your eyes are directed toward that person:
I smiled at him, but he looked right through me.

I don't mean inattentional blindness, where something is right in front of you but because of your attention being elsewhere you don't notice it at all and might deny it was even there if asked later.

I mean, when you idly, passively see something, and you do minimally notice it (if someone later asks "did you see X" you'll say yes), but it doesn't register, you don't process it properly or think about what you're seeing, you process it on autopilot.

Eye Direction. There are a number of studies that talk about the direction of eyes during lies. Typically when people look up or to the right they are lying or tapping into their imagination. When they look up to the left they are remembering or recalling something, tapping into the memory part of the brain.)

Variation

Variables

Each person/thing we collect data on is called an OBSERVATION (in our work these are usually people/subjects. Currently, the term participant rather than subject is used when describing the people from whom we collect data).
OBSERVATIONS (participants) possess a variety of CHARACTERISTICS.
If a CHARACTERISTIC of an OBSERVATION (participant) is the same for every member of the group (doesn’t vary) it is called a CONSTANT.
If a CHARACTERISTIC of an OBSERVATION (participant) differs for group members it is called VARIABLE. In research we don’t get excited about CONSTANTS (since everyone is the same on that characteristic); we’re more interested in VARIABLES. Variables can be classified as QUANTITATIVE or QUALITATIVE (also known as CATEGORICAL).
QUANTITATIVE variables are ones that exist along a continuum that runs from low to high. Ordinal, interval, and ratio variables are quantitative.  QUANTITATIVE variables are sometimes called CONTINUOUS VARIABLES because they have a variety (continuum) of characteristics.
Height in inches and scores on a test would be examples of quantitative variables.
QUALITATIVE variables do not express differences in amount, only differences.
They are sometimes referred to as CATEGORICAL variables because they classify by categories. 
Nominal variables such as gender, religion, or eye color are CATEGORICAL variables. Generally speaking, categorical variables
Categorical variables are groups…such as gender or type of degree sought.
Quantitative variables are numbers that have a range…like weight in pounds or baskets made during a ball game. When we analyze data we do turn the categorical variables into numbers but only for identification purposes…e.g. 1 = male and 2 = female. Just because 2 = female does not mean that females are better than males who are only 1.  With quantitative data having a higher number means you have more of something. So higher values have meaning.
A special case of a CATEGORICAL variable is a DICHOTOMOUS VARIABLE. DICHOTOMOUS variables have only two CHARACTERISTICS (male or female). When naming QUALITATIVE variables, it is important to name the category rather than the levels (i.e., gender is the variable name, not male and female).
Variables have different purposes or roles…
Independent (Experimental, Manipulated, Treatment, Grouping) Variable-
That factor which is measured, manipulated, or selected by the experimenter to determine its relationship to an observed phenomenon. “In a research study, independent variables are antecedent conditions that are presumed to affect a dependent variable. They are either manipulated by the researcher or are observed by the researcher so that their values can be related to that of the dependent variable.
For example, in a research study on the relationship between mosquitoes and mosquito bites, the number of mosquitoes per acre of ground would be an independent variable” (Jaeger, 1990, p. 373)
While the independent variable is often manipulated by the researcher, it can also be a classification where subjects are assigned to groups. In a study where one variable causes the other, the independent variable is the cause. In a study where groups are being compared, the independent variable is the group classification.
Dependent (Outcome) Variable-
That factor which is observed and measured to determine the effect of the independent variable, i.e., that factor that appears, disappears, or varies as the experimenter introduces, removes, or varies the independent variable.
 “In a research study, the independent variable defines a principal focus of research interest. It is the consequent variable that is presumably affected by one or more independent variables that are either manipulated by the researcher or observed by the researcher and regarded as antecedent conditions that determine the value of the dependent variable.
 For example, in a study of the relationship between mosquitoes and mosquito bites, the number of mosquito bites per hour would be the independent variable” (Jaeger, 1990, p. 370). The dependent variable is the participant’s response.
The dependent variable is the outcome. In an experiment, it may be what was caused or what changed as a result of the study. In a comparison of groups, it is what they differ on.
Moderator Variable- That factor which is measured, manipulated, or selected by the experimenter to discover whether it modifies the relationship of the independent variable to an observed phenomenon. It is a special type of independent variable.
The independent variable’s relationship with the dependent variable may change under different conditions.
That condition is the moderator variable.

In a study of two methods of teaching reading, one of the methods of teaching reading may work better with boys than girls. Method of teaching reading is the independent variable and reading achievement is the dependent variable. Gender is the moderator variable because it moderates or changes the relationship between the independent variable (teaching method) and the dependent variable (reading achievement).
Suppose we do a study of reading achievement where we compare whole language with phonics, and we also include students’ social economic status (SES) as a variable. The students are randomly assigned to either whole language instruction or phonics instruction. There are students of high and low SES in each group.
Let’s assume that we found that whole language instruction worked better than phonics instruction with the high SES students, but phonics instruction worked better than whole language instruction with the low SES students. Later you will learn in statistics that this is an interaction effect. In this study, language instruction was the independent variable (with two levels: phonics and whole language). SES was the moderator variable (with two levels: high and low). Reading achievement was the dependent variable (measured on a continuous scale so there aren’t levels).
With a moderator variable, we find the type of instruction did make a difference, but it worked differently for the two groups on the moderator variable. We select this moderator variable because we think it is a variable that will moderate the effect of the independent on the dependent. We make this decision before we start the study.
If the moderator had not been in the study above, we would have said that there was no difference in reading achievement between the two types of reading instruction. This would have happened because the average of the high and low scores of each SES group within a reading instruction group would cancel each other an produce what appears to be average reading achievement in each instruction group (i.e., Phonics: Low—6 and High—2; Whole Language:   Low—2 and High—6; Phonics has an average of 4 and Whole Language has an average of 4. If we just look at the averages (without regard to the moderator), it appears that the instruction types produced similar results).
Extraneous Variable- Those factors which cannot be controlled.
Extraneous variables are independent variables that have not been controlled. They may or may not influence the results. One way to control an extraneous variable which might influence the results is to make it a constant (keep everyone in the study alike on that characteristic). If SES were thought to influence achievement, then restricting the study to one SES level would eliminate SES as an extraneous variable.
Here are some examples similar to your homework:
Null Hypothesis:
Students who receive pizza coupons as a reward do not read more books than students who do not receive pizza coupon rewards.

Independent Variable: Reward Status

Dependent Variable: Number of Books Read

High achieving students do not perform better than low achieving student when writing stories regardless of whether they use paper and pencil or a word processor.

Independent Variable: Instrument Used for Writing

Moderator Variable: Ability Level of the Students

Dependent Variable:  Quality of Stories Written

When we are comparing two groups, the groups are the independent variable. When we are testing whether something influences something else, the influence (cause) is the independent variable.
The independent variable is also the one we manipulate.
For example,
Consider the hypothesis
 “Teachers given higher pay will have more positive attitudes toward children than teachers given lower pay.”

One approach is to ask ourselves “Are there two or more groups being compared?” The answer is “Yes.” “What are the groups?” Teachers who are given higher pay and teachers who are given lower pay. Therefore, the independent variable is teacher pay (it has two levels– high pay and low pay). The dependent variable (what the groups differ on) is attitude towards school.
We could also approach this another way.
“Is something causing something else?”
The answer is “Yes.”

“What is causing what?”
Teacher pay is causing attitude towards school.
Therefore, teacher pay is the independent variable (cause) and attitude towards school is the dependent variable (outcome).

Research Variables

Independent, Dependent and Extraneous

Saul McLeod published 2008

A variable is anything that can vary, i.e. changed or be changed, such as memoryattention, time taken to perform a task, etc.
 Variable are given a special name that only applies to experimental investigations. One is called the dependent variable and the other the independent variable.
In an experiment, the researcher is looking for the possible effect on the dependent variable that might be caused by changing the independent variable. 
 Independent variable (IV): Variable the experimenter manipulates (i.e. changes) – assumed to have a direct effect on the dependent variable.
 Dependent variable (DV): Variable the experimenter measures, after making changes to the IV that are assumed to affect the DV.
For example, we might change the type of information (e.g. organized or random) given to participants to see what effect this might have on the amount of information remembered.
In this particular example the type of information is the independent variable (because it changes) and the amount of information remembered is the dependent variable (because this is being measured). 

Operationalising Variables

It is very important in research to clearly define what you mean by both your IV and DV.
Operational variables (or operationalizing definitions) refer to how you will define and measure a specific variable as it is used in your study.
For example, if we are concerned with the effect of media violence on aggression, then we need to be very clear what we mean by the different terms. In this case, we must state what we mean by the terms “media violence" and “aggression" as we will study them.
Therefore, you could state that “media violence" is operationally defined (in your experiment) as ‘exposure to a 15 minute film showing scenes of physical assault’; “aggression" is operationally defined as ‘levels of electrical shocks administered to a second ‘participant’ in another room’.
In another example,
The hypothesis:                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  
“Young participants will have significantly better memories than older participants" is not operationalized.
How do we define "young", “old" or "memory"?                                                                                                  
"Participants aged between 16 - 30 will recall significantly more nouns from a list if twenty than participants aged between 55 - 70" is operationalized.
                                                                                                                                                                   The key point  here is that we have made it absolutely clear what we mean by the terms as                                                                                                                                                                                                         this then it would be very difficult (if not impossible) to compare the findings of different studies into the same behavior.                                                                                                                                                    
Operationalization has the great advantage that it generally provides a clear and objective definition of even complex variables. It also makes it easier for other researchers to replicate a study and check for reliability.

Extraneous Variables

When we conduct experiments there are other variables that can affect our results, if we do not control them. The researcher wants to make sure that it is the manipulation of the independent variable that has changed the changes in the dependent variable.
Hence, all the other variables that could affect the DV to change must be controlled. These other variables are called extraneous or confounding variables.
Extraneous variables – These are all variables, which are not the independent variable, but could affect the results (e.g. dependent variable) of the experiment.
Extraneous variables should be controlled were possible. They might be important enough to provide alternative explanations for the effects.

There are four types of extraneous variables:

1. Situational Variables

These are aspects of the environment that might affect the participant’s behavior, e.g. noise, temperature, lighting conditions, etc. Situational variables should be controlled so they are the same for all participants.
Standardized procedures are used to ensure that conditions are the same for all participants. This includes the use of standardized instructions
This refers to the ways in which each participant varies from the other, and how this could affect the results e.g. mood, intelligence, anxiety, nerves, concentration etc.
For example,
If a participant that has performed a memory test was tired, dyslexic or had poor eyesight, this could effect their performance and the results of the experiment. The experimental design chosen can have an affect on participant variables.
Situational variables also include order effects that can be controlled using counterbalancing, such as giving half the participants condition 'A' first, while the other half get condition 'B' first. This prevents improvement due to practice, or poorer performance due to boredom.
Participant variables can be controlled using random allocation to the conditions of the independent variable.

3. Experimenter / Investigator Effects

The experimenter unconsciously conveys to participants how they should behave - this is called experimenter bias.
The experiment might do this by giving unintentional clues to the participants about what the experiment is about and how they expect them to behave. This affects the participants’ behavior.
The experimenter is often totally unaware of the influence which s/he is exerting and the cues may be very subtle but they may have an influence nevertheless.
Also, the personal attributes (e.g. age, gender, accent, manner etc.) of the experiment can affect the behavior of the participants.

4. Demand Characteristics

These are all the clues in an experiment which convey to the participant the purpose of the research.
Participants will be affected by: (i) their surroundings; (ii) the researcher’s characteristics; (iii) the researcher’s behavior (e.g. non-verbal communication), and (iv) their interpretation of what is going on in the situation.
Experimenters should attempt to minimize these factors by keeping the environment as natural as possible, carefully following standardized procedures. Finally, perhaps different experimenters should be used to see if they obtain similar results.
Suppose we wanted to measure the effects of Alcohol (IV) on driving ability (DV) we would have to try to ensure that extraneous variables did not affect the results.
These variables could include:
• Familiarity with the car: Some people may drive better because they have driven this make of car before.
• Familiarity with the test: Some people may do better than others because they know what to expect on the test.
• Used to drinking. The effects of alcohol on some people may be less than on others because they are used to drinking.
• Full stomach. The effect of alcohol on some subjects may be less than on others because they have just had a big meal.
If these extraneous variables are not controlled they may become confounding variables, because they could go on to affect the results of the experiment.
Extraneous and confounding variables.
What happens when something other than your independent variable is influencing the outcome of your study? In this lesson, we'll look at two types of variables that can affect an experiment: extraneous and confounding variables.

Internal Validity

Josh is in love. He's been with his girlfriend a while now and wants to propose. But he doesn't know how he should do it. Should he propose in a crowd? When they're alone? At the place where they went for their first date? After he whisks her off to Paris or the Bahamas?
Josh is a psychologist and does research for a living, so he decides to do a study on marriage proposals and figure out which one women like best. That's how he'll decide how to propose. He gathers a bunch of women, shows them videos of marriage proposals, and then measures their reactions: whether they cry or if their heart races or if they just watch it and go, 'Eh.'
In research, internal validity is when a researcher can say that only the independent variable caused changes in the dependent variable.
For example, in Josh's study, the videos are the independent variable and the women's reactions are the dependent variable. If Josh changes which videos he shows the women, he sees different reactions. If his internal validity is high, he can say that the difference in videos caused the changes in the reactions.
If most women who watch video A say, 'Aw, how sweet!' and most women watching video B say, 'Well, that's an epic fail,' then Josh wants to know for sure that it's actually the video that's causing the reactions, not something else. Let's look closer at variables that might affect the dependent variable besides the independent variable: extraneous and confounding.

Extraneous Variables

Okay. So, let's imagine that Josh has set up his experiment. Each subject is brought into a little room and is shown two of six different videos. Josh measures their reaction to each video and then their reaction overall.
Josh expects that he will see the women react more positively to the videos they believe are most romantic. Not only that, but he believes that if he shows a woman two proposals that most women believe are really romantic, then she'll have a higher reaction level overall than someone who is shown only one really romantic video and one that's, well, sort of romantic. But what happens if the women who are shown two really romantic proposal videos are put in a room that's much warmer than the other women? Or what if they are given a red rose before going into the room but the other women aren't?
Both of these are examples of extraneous variables, or variables present in the experiment that aren't being studied. If all of the women who are shown the two most romantic proposals are tall and all the other women are short, will that make a difference? What about the examples we gave above of room temperature or the rose? How will those affect the outcomes of the study?
The problem with extraneous variables is that they might affect the dependent variable but they might not. There's no way to tell until after the experiment is done.
Extraneous variables are usually grouped into three categories:
1. Physical or Situational Variables: These occur when the physical situation of subjects changes for certain groups, like the fact that women shown the most romantic proposals are in a warmer room.
2. Personal Variables: These are when one group has personality or other traits that members of the other group don't. For example, what if the women shown the most romantic video clips are also more romantic in nature than the other women?
3. Researcher Variables: These are when the researcher, himself, does something different for the various groups of the experiment. For example, what if Josh was really nice to the women who saw the two romantic videos, and he was very gruff with the other groups?
Notice that extraneous variables are only important if they are present for one group and not the other. If all of your subjects are exposed to the same extraneous variable (like if Josh was nice to all the subjects), then it won't change your dependent variable, and it's not considered an extraneous variable.

Confounding Variables

So, extraneous variables affect your dependent variable in some way, and what you really want is for the independent variable to be the only one affecting your dependent variable. But what if you have an extraneous variable that is related to your independent variable, which in turn affects your dependent variable?

confounding variable is an outside influence that changes the effect of a dependent and independent variable. This extraneous influence is used to influence the outcome of an experimental design.

Confounding Variable
A confounding variable is an outside influence that changes the effect of a dependent and independent variable. This extraneous influence is used to influence the outcome of an experimental design. Simply, a confounding variable is an extra variable entered into the equation that was not accounted for. Confounding variables can ruin an experiment and produce useless results. They suggest that there are correlations when there really are not. In an experiment, the independent variable generally has an effect on the dependent variable.

 For example, if you are researching whether a lack of exercise has an effect on weight gain, the lack of exercise is the independent variable and weight gain is the dependent variable.
A confounding variable would be any other influence that has an effect on weight gain.
Amount of food consumption is a confounding variable, a placebo is a confounding variable, or weather could be a confounding variable. Each may change the effect of the experiment design.
In order to reduce confounding variables, make sure all the confounding variables are identified in the study. Make a list of everything thought of, one by one, and consider whether those listed items might influence the outcome of the study. Understanding the confounding variables will result in more accurate results.
Examples of Confounding Variable:

1. A mother's education
Suppose a study is done to reveal whether bottle-feeding is related to an increase of diarrhea in infants. It would appear logical that the bottle-fed infants are more prone to diarrhea since water and bottles could easily get contaminated, or the milk could go bad. However, the facts are that bottle-fed infants are less likely to get diarrhea than breast-fed infants. Bottle feeding actually protects against illness. The confounding variable would be the extent of the mother's education on the matter. If you take the mother's education into account, you would learn that better educated mothers are more likely to bottle-feed infants.

2. Weather
Another example is the correlation between murder rate and the sale of ice-cream. As the murder rate raises so does the sale of ice-cream. One suggestion for this could be that murderers cause people to buy ice-cream. This is highly unlikely. A second suggestion is that purchasing ice-cream causes people to commit murder, also highly unlikely. Then there is a third variable which includes a confounding variable. It is distinctly possible that the weather causes the correlation. While the weather is icy cold, fewer people are out interacting with others and less likely to purchase ice-cream. Conversely, when it is hot outside, there is more social interaction and more ice-cream being purchased. In this example, the weather is the variable that confounds the relationship between ice-cream sales and murder.
3. Slanted wood

Another example is the relationship between the force applied to a ball and the distance the ball travels. The natural prediction would be that the ball given the most force would travel furthest. However, if the confounding variable is a downward slanted piece of wood to help propel the ball, the results would be dramatically different. The slanted wood is the confounding variable that changes the outcome of the experiment.

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