Bugaboo is nasty as long as imaginary By Prof Dr Sohail Ansari
Jabir ibn Abdullah
reported: The Prophet, peace and blessings be upon him, enjoined good treatment
of slaves and he would say, “Feed them from the same food
you eat, clothe them from the same clothes you wear, and do not torture the
creation of Allah Almighty.”
Do not use lash when your tongue Suffices
·
As long as nation holds ability to obtain desired results abroad
by projecting than exercising power, limits of its power remain unexposed.
Quotes:
·
I don't know why
people are so keen to put the details of their private life in public; they
forget that invisibility is a superpower. Banksy
·
Mu'awiya Bin Abi Sufyan, founder of the Umayyad
Dynasty, once famously said: "I do not apply my
sword where my lash suffices; nor my lash where my tongue is enough. And even
if there be one hair binding me to my fellow men, I do not let it break. When
they pull, I loosen, and if they loosen, I pull."
Theory
testing and theory construction: Attempts to answer the `why' questions in
social science are theories. These theories vary in their complexity (how many
variables and links), abstraction (the quality of dealing with ideas rather
than events.
"topics will vary in degrees of abstraction") and scope.
To
understand the
role of theory in empirical research it is useful to distinguish between two
different styles of research: theory testing and theory building.
Theory building: Theory building is a
process in which research begins with observations and uses inductive reasoning
( Inductive
reasoning is a type of
logical thinking that involves forming generalizations based on specific
incidents you've experienced, observations you've made, or facts you know to be
true or false. Jennifer leaves for
school at 7:00 a.m. Jennifer is always on time. Jennifer assumes, then, that
she will always be on time if she leaves at 7:00 a.m.)
to derive
a theory from these observations. These
theories attempt to make sense of observations. Because the theory is produced
after observations are made it is often called post factum theory (Post factum After the event; with hindsight). (Merton, 1968) or ex
post facto theorizing. This form of theory building entails asking whether the
observation is a particular case of a more general factor, or how the
observation fits into a pattern or a story. For example, Durkheim observed that
the suicide
rate was
higher among Protestants than Catholics. But is religious affiliation a particular case of something more
general? Of what more general phenomenon might it be an indicator? Are there
other observations
that shed
light on this? He also observed that men were more suicidal than women, urban dwellers more than
rural dwellers and the socially mobile more than the socially stable. He argued
that the common factor behind all these observations was that those groups who
were most suicidal were also less well socially integrated and experienced greater ambiguity about how
to behave
and what is right and wrong. He theorized that one of the explanations for
suicidal behaviour was a sense of normlessness ± a disconnectedness of individuals from
their social world. Of course, there may have been other ways of accounting for these observations
but at least Durkheim's explanation was consistent with the facts.
Theory testing In contrast, a theory testing approach
begins with a theory and uses theory to guide which observations to make: it moves from
the general to the particular. The observations should provide a test of the worth of the
theory.
Deductive
reasoning is defined as figuring out something by first reaching a conclusion
on a bigger picture issue in order to reach a conclusion on a smaller picture
issue.
An example of deductive reasoning is that
all grammar is difficult, and then deciding that punctuation is part of grammar
which leads to the deduction that punctuation is difficult.
It is a type of
reasoning which goes from general to specific. · Since
all humans are mortal, and I am a human, then I am mortal.
·
All dolphins are mammals, all mammals have kidneys; therefore all
dolphins have kidneys.
Using deductive reasoning to derive a set of
propositions from the theory does this. We need to develop these propositions
so that
Empirical level Deductive reasoning Theory testing approach Start here Obs 1 Obs 2
Obs 3 Obs 4 Obs 1 Obs 2 Obs 3 Obs 4
If
the theory is
true then certain things should follow in the real world. We then assess whether these predictions are correct. If they
are correct
the theory is supported. If they do not hold up then the theory needs to be either
rejected or modified. For example, we may wish to test the theory that it is not divorce
itself that affects the wellbeing of children but the level of conflict between
parents. To
test this idea
we can make predictions about the wellbeing of children under different family
conditions. For the simple theory that it is parental conflict rather than divorce that affects a child's
wellbeing there are four basic `conditions'.
For each `condition' the theory would make
different predictions about the level of children's wellbeing that we can
examine. If the
theory that it is parental conflict rather than parental divorce is correct the following propositions
should be
supported:
Proposition 1: children in situations (a) and (b)
would be equally well off That is, where parental conflict is low, children
with divorced parents will do just as well as those whose parents are married.
·
Proposition 2: children in situations (c) and (d )
should be equally poorly off That is, children in conflict couple families will
do just as badly as children in post-divorce families where parents sustain
high conflict.
Proposition 3: children in situation (c) will do worse than
those in situation (a) That is, those with married parents in high conflict
will do worse than those who have married parents who are not in conflict.
Proposition 4: children in situation (d ) will do worse than
those in situation (b) That is, those with divorced parents in high conflict
will do worse than those who have divorced parents who are not in conflcit.
Proposition 5: children in situation (b) will do better than
those in situation (c) That is, children with divorced parents who are not in
conflict will do better than those with married parents who are in conflict.
Proposition 6: children in situation (a) will do
better than those in situation (d ) That is, children with married parents who
are not in conflict will do better than those with divorced parents who are in conflict.
Parents divorced?
Parental
conflict No Yes Low (a) (b) High (c) (d)
The
relationship between divorce and parental conflict
No
single proposition would provide a compelling test of the original theory. Indeed,
taken on its
own proposition 3, for example, would reveal nothing about the impact of divorce.
However, taken
as a package, the set of propositions provides a stronger test of the theory than
any single proposition. Although theory testing and theory building are often
presented as
alternative modes of research they should be part of one ongoing process. Typically,
theory building will produce a plausible account or explanation of a set of
observations. However, such explanations are frequently just one of a number of
possible explanations.
While
plausible they are not necessarily compelling. They require systematic testing where
data are collected to specially evaluate how well the explanation holds when subjected to a
range of crucial tests.
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